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| Updated snow prediction map from the National Weather Service in South Burlington. Now, most of Vermont including the majority of the Champlain Valley will get at least six inches ofnew sow. The areas expecting a foot or more (dark orange and red) have also expanded. |
This storm continues to over-perform as the snowfall in parts of northern Vermont is still even heavier than expected.
The amounts keep going up. Remember two days ago we thought this would be no big deal. I guess it was.
The winter storm warning has been widened to include the Champlain Valley north of Ferrisburg. This area was just under a winter weather advisory earlier.
Pretty much all of Vermont is now under a winter storm warning except the western halves of Addison and Rutland counties, n the southeastern corner of Vermont.
Snowfall has really picked up in the Champlain Valley this morning, as north winds funneling down the valley are making the air squeeze, which means it rises. Rising air enhances snowfall rate.
There are numerous reports of over four inches of snow already and it will continue to pile up
It now looks like the Burlington area will get at least six inches of total snowfall out of this, if not ore. Up in the northern Champlain Valley totals might approach a foot around St. Albans, at least in areas a few miles inland from Lake Champlain.
Much of the snow that's falling across Vermont is wet and heavy, and that's causing some tree and power line damage.
There were a good 3,000 or so homes and businesses without power as of 11:30 this morning. Thankfully, the temperature will slowly drop this afternoon, so the snow will take on a more powdery consistency. So most of the additional snow will blow off branches and lines. This won't be nearly as bad as the power failures in the big wet snowstorm in late November, when tens of thousand of Vermonters lost power
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
I'm sure you had a lovely commute this morning if you live in northern New York and most of northern New England, including here in Vermont.
Wet snow made the roads slick. The temperature is falling and some of the slush is turning into ice.
Well, get used to it. For most of us, it will keep snowing all day, and the temperature will keep falling all day, too.
Winter storm warnings are up for the entire Green Mountain range, and north central and northeastern Vermont, where total snow accumulations by Thursday evening will be in the eight to 14 inch range, says the National Weather Service in South Burlington, Vermont.
Elsewhere, expect three to seven inches of fresh powder. These zones are under a winter weather advisory.
OK, it's not the biggest snowstorm ever. But it will harass us through Thursday, as mentioned, so we have to deal with it.
Also, as noted yesterday, the big winners out of this snow will be the Green Mountain range and the western slopes of those mountains. I'm sure the ski areas will love this.
We're still expecting a cold snap Friday through Sunday at least as an Arctic high pressure system noses down toward us from Ontario and Quebec.
Snow lovers are still hoping for a coastal storm to bring more snow to parts of the Northeast. It's still possible areas well south of Vermont might pick up some snow, but all indications at this point are that any storminess will stay well south of us Sunday and Monday.
In fact, we're in for a long stretch of cold, dry weather. Temperatures will go up and down through at least January 19 but stay generally near or below normal, with the exception of a day or two here or there ahead of cold fronts that might be relatively mild.
At this point, it also looks like it will be quite dry here in Vermont at least through January 18 or 19 or so with only weak systems zipping through with light snows. Of course, there's always a risk of surprises this time of year, so this dry forecast might be a bust. But after today and tonight, for now, expect no exciting storms at least through mid month.
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