Monday, April 4, 2016

Vermont and New England Winter In April Update: Still Wicked Bad

Satellite photo from Sunday shows a strong storm off
New England pulling in frigid air from Canada.
The northwest to southeas oriented cloud streaks
over Vermont and the rest of New England help
illustrate yesterday's cold northwest gusts.  
What an awful Monday morning for lovers of spring.

In southern New England, up to the southern third of :Vermont, it was snowing, on top of what fell there Sunday.

Winter weather advisories stretched through central NewYork, across southern New England except areas along the south coast, and into far southern Vermont and southwestern corner of New Hampshire.

Under the advisory area, two to six inches of snow is forecast before it tapers off this afternoon or evening.

Further north, little or no snow will come of this but geez was it cold this morning!

Most areas were in the teens, with the majority of northern Vermont and New Hampshire in the lower teens just before dawn.

Sutton and Gallup Mills, in northeastern Vermont, were down to 7 degrees above zero at 5 a.m. Monday. It was 3 above in Frenchville, Maine and 8 in Berlin, New Hampshire.

Those probably aren't the absolute lows for the day, as temperatures probably fell another degree or two there before sun-up.

I still doubt things will get much better for the next week or so, but at least toward the end of the week the cold will relax some, at least for a day or two. But I still think it will turn stormy or at least unpleasant from Wednesday through Saturday.

Have I completed demoralized you yet?

The quick clipper storm bringing the snow to southern and central New England today will pull down a reinforcing shot of frigid air today through Tuesday night.

Across much of northern New York, most of Vermont and New Hampshire, temperatures once again won't get above freezing this afternoon and tomorrow afternoon. This. during a time of year when  normal high temperatures flirt with 50 degrees.

If anything, tonight will be colder than last night over Vermont and surrounding areas. Skies will clear, winds will be light and the frigid air will be in place.

I bet lots of places will get below 10 degrees, with most others will make it into the low teens.

I pretty much can guess that any garden plants that started coming up will be completely frozen toast if they aren't already, and will have to start over. A disappointing setback for sure.

The frigid Arctic high pressure system will finally move east Wednesday and it will sort, kinda warmer.

But, as noted, it's going to turn wet. And occasionally, in some places, maybe white or icy.

The first wave of precipitation comes in Wednesday ahead of a warm front. A cold rain will develop in the afternoon, but it might end up being sleet or snow in the high elevations of the Adirondacks and way up in the Green Mountains of Vermont.

Maybe some snow and ice in the Northeast Kingdom and northern New Hampshire, too.

Like I said yesterday, a complicated weather pattern is developing over the Northeast by week's end, and it will feature another very deep, strong dip in the jet stream over us. That means more unseasonable cold, but probably not as bad as we're getting now.

The position of this jet stream dip will encourage storminess, however. This type of very deep dip in the jet stream, especially this time of year, can often cause real mischief.

Precipitation that comes down Thursday will almost definitely be rain everywhere.  Depending on the strength and position of a storm or storms that form in or near New England with this jet stream dip, there could be snow Friday and maybe into Saturday.

If it does snow then, the chances of it are best in the high elevations, especially the Adirondacks.

Depending upon how the storms shape up, there might be a fair amount of rain or melted snow across northern New York, Vermont and New Hampshire.

There could be an inch or more of rain, depending on how the storms shape up, we'll see.

Next Saturday is looking miserable at this point, with clouds, snow showers and high temperatures at or barely above freezing.

A slow warm-up will start next Sunday or Monday. I don't see any spectacularly warm weather coming, but in about 7 to 10 days or so, if we can wait that long, temperatures will finally be at or just slightly below normal.  Not springtime balminess, but maybe an improvement.

After this frigid spring week, I'll happily take even that.

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