Wednesday, March 16, 2016

A Brief Return To Winter Coming To Vermont, New England Soon

Quite foggy during the morning commute in St. Albans,
Vermont this morning, but it cleared up later.  
It was damp and mild this morning across Vermont and much of the rest of New England this morning.

The fog slowly cleared up as the morning progressed and we will get some breaks of nice sunshine for the rest of the day, along with occasional clouds.

Springlike weather will continue for a another day or two, but big changes are coming that will plunge us back into winter for a few days.

The storm that brought tornadoes to Illinois and a winter storm to northern Minnesota will swing its weather fronts toward New England Thursday.

After a mostly dry, mild day today, rain will blow in tonight. Nothing heavy, but it will be a wet and mild Wednesday night.

Thursday, the part of that storm in the Great Lakes that's in the upper levels of the atmosphere will approach us, leading to a rather interesting day Thursday.

It'll still be mild down where we live, but several thousand to a 10,000 and more feet overhead, it will turn very cold. The contrast will create billowing tall clouds, which will produce quite a few showers, with a few thunderstorms thrown in here and there.

There might even be some small hail and gusty winds with a few of these showers and thunderstorms in Vermont and the rest of New England and northern New York.

Then winter comes back. A cold front will drop through New England Thursday night, changing rain showers to snow showers.

A dusting to a couple inches will pile up in the northern New England valleys Thursday night and Friday, with a few inches in the mountains. That'll fall way too short and way to late to save the ski season, but winter fans will at least get a taste

Temperatures in much of Vermont, New Hampshire and Maine will struggle to get above freezing Friday and Saturday and overnight lows will be in the upper single numbers and teens.

That's not unusual at all for mid-March, but it will still feel stunning after such a long bout of mild weather.

You've probably heard about the possibility of a nor'easter Sunday night and Monday. Well, that's iffy.

Current forecasting models take the storm too far to the east to seriously affect New England. HOWEVER: The storm is several days away, and sometimes, as new data comes in, we find out the storm will come a lot closer than we originally thought.

So it's still possible parts of New England could get a nasty snow and or rain storm. It's just too soon to tell. Chances are higher that it won't happen, especially the more west and north you go, but it's still something to keep an eye on.

Beyond that, the weather pattern looks active. That's all I can tell you. As is typical in the early spring, when the seasons are in transition, forecasting beyond a few days out is very, VERY difficult

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