So Far, Looking Like Sunday Night Storm No Biggie In Vermont, But....

The now famous National Weather Service snow prediction map
is currently showing a modest snowfall Sunday night and
Monday. Definitely subject to change either up or down.

Winter storm watches are up in the Northeast from Pennsylvania to Maine as that region gets ready for a winter storm Sunday night and Monday.

Conspicuously outside the winter storm watch zone is the entire state of Vermont. That watch makes it to the New Hampshire border with southeastern Vermont, but that's it. So far at least.

While things could still easily change, the fast moving snowstorm expected in New England later Sunday continues to look like it will just sideswipe Vermont at best.

There's still a decent chance a band of moderate snow will push into the southern third of the state Sunday night. Overall, initial forecasts from the National Weather Service in South Burlington show a northwest to southeast gradient in snow accumulations across the state.

The early guess is it will range from around two inches near St. Albans to seven inches down by Brattleboro.

That said, there's still a high bust potential with this forecast, so expect adjustments before the event, if you can call it that, arrives. Bottom line: Expect to encounter snow when you drive to work Monday morning, so you'll have to deal with that.

Whatever happens, this storm will race by, so even if it comes closer to us and gives us more snow than expected, it won't have time to drop epic amounts of snow. The vast majority of forecasters don't expect anyone in New England, even in the heart of the winter storm watch one, to get more than a foot of snow, and even that's pushing it.

It still looks like we'll have a week of hard-core winter left to go next week. Forecasts are staying very consistent for a cold stretch of highs in the 15 to 20 degree range and lows either side of zero Tuesday through Friday.

If you want a bright side, it's that like pretty much every Arctic outbreak since late January, this one will enter the United States via the northern Plains and western Great Lakes. Those areas can expect to see record cold over the next few days.

The early March sun will sort of, kinda "warm" the air as it heads east towards us. Which means it will get very cold for this time of year in Vermont, but we almost certainly won't see any record lows.

There will be little weather disturbances mixed in with this cold northwest flow, so there will be a few  episodes of snow showers next week, mostly in the mountains. Accumulations won't amount to much.

The best guess is a start of a slow warm up will start next Friday afternoon, but even then it will be quite a bit chillier than normal. The next shot at a storm is a week from today but nobody knows yet if that will materialize, and if so, what it will do.

It's still looking like we have some nice potential for some March thawing, and maple sap runs starting in a little over a week from now.