Thursday, February 13, 2014

1 p.m. Thurs. Snow Update: Maybe Upping Possible Accumulations?

As of 1 p.m., snow was slowly spreading northward across Vermont and adjacent New York and New Hampshire.
1 p.m Web cam grab from Interstate 89 in Berlin,
in central Vermont shows the snow had started there.
It'll continue to work north this afternoon.  

It'll come down lightly at first, but I'm watching a wicked intense band of snow across Pennsylvania.

That band of snow is more inland than I first thought, and it makes me wonder if the snow might come down a bit harder tonight in parts of Vermont than originally forecast.

I'm not sure, but it's worth considering.

The nor'easter itself is still a little stronger than expected and is strengthening a little more than I thought it might, which might also boost snow totals in and near Vermont a bit.

Also, some of the latest computer models coming seem to give us a bit of extra snow.

Here's what the National Weather Service  in South Burlington says in their noon forecast discussion as they monitor the storm:


HAVE NOT MADE ANY CHANGES TO
PERIODS OF FORECAST BEYOND THIS AFTERNOON...BUT AVAILABLE 12Z
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FOR TONIGHT MADE NEED
TO BE UPPED A FEW INCHES...ESPECIALLY FOR WESTERN VERMONT AND
MUCH OF NORTHERN NY. WILL WAIT FOR REST OF GUIDANCE TO MAKE ANY
CHANGES TO EXPECTED SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.
 

So there you have it.  As is often the case, there's still some uncertainty right up to the point at which the snow is starting, which is typical of these hard to predict nor'easters. Stay tuned!

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