Vermont To Get Soaked Through Saturday; And A Topsy-Turvy October Ends

A forecast map from the National Weather Service in South
Burlington, Vermont depicts one to two inches of rain
across the region through Saturday. 

If you like rainy, dreary weather, you'll love the next three days here in Vermont.

There's a weather front pretty much stalled out in our region, and several waves of low pressure will ride northward along that front, carrying plenty of moisture with it.

Although it won't rain constantly through Saturday, most of the time will be wet. It's damp and cloudy this morning, but there's not much in the way of precipitation. That will change this afternoon, as the first wave of moisture slogs through.

The heaviest rain looks like it will go across northern New York, but most of Vermont should get in on the action this afternoon and tonight, too.

There might be a lull in the action Friday afternoon, when the rain could become lighter and spottier and even maybe shut off for a time.

But the moisture will surge back in for Friday night and much of Saturday.

All told, this weather pattern will drop one to two inches of rain across Vermont. There might be some spots that could have greater totals than that.

Flooding is not all that likely because this rain will be spread over nearly three days. However, the National Weather Service in South Burlington said it's possible that there could be minor flooding in some of the more prone spots, like along parts of the Ausable River in New York and the Otter Creek around Center Rutland, Vermont.

There will be a brief break in the wet weather Sunday into Monday, but another storm looks like it will come along Tuesday and Wednesday with more rain. We're not sure how much  yet. But it looks like it will be too warm for snow.

After the chill of the second half of October, November is starting out with near normal temperatures

OCTOBER SEE-SAW

We just ended October, which really had little in the way of October weather, at least the way we understand it. The first half of the month was more like September, even sometimes a little like August.

"Snoliage" in St. Albans, Vermont during a cold second half of October

The second half of October was more like November, with hints of December thrown in.

The result was a month that on paper looked close to normal. Burlington's mean temperature for October was 48.6, or just half a degree warmer than normal.

Montpelier and St. Johnsbury ended up with an October that was a little more than a degree cooler than normal

Back in Burlington, we had a couple record highs in the 80s on October 9 and 10, then it was mostly cold. Only four days after October 13 were warmer than normal, and then not by much. Nine of those days didn't even make it up to 50 degrees in the afternoon.

It was a dry summer, so it was nice to see a wet October. Most places in Vermont had near to above normal rainfall. The aforementioned storminess over the next three days will help further.

This kind of see-saw weather says nothing about what the weather will be like for November and the rest of December. I've seen winter forecasts that are all over the place, ranging from cold and very snowy to warm and dry.

So who knows?