Wednesday, November 27, 2013

Messy Storm Ongoing, Will Continue Well Into The Night

As of early Wednesday morning, we've entered the warmest part of the big, wet messy storm affecting Vermont and the rest of the Northeast.

Latest snowfall forecasts from the NWS/Burlington.
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Snow and mixed precipitation has mostly changed to rain, except for some pockets in northern New York, Vermont and New Hampshire.

Snow accumulations have been generally a trace to three inches of slush, with more than that falling in parts of the Adirondacks and St. Lawrence Valley of New York.

There are still some icy and slushy patches on the roads out there, so be careful driving this morning.

There might be somewhat of a lull in the precipitation in and around Vermont for part of this morning but generally, it'll keep raining a lot for much of the day. Flood watches in Vermont have been extended northward into Rutland and Windsor Counties and in the entire eastern third of the state.

There won't be any severe, Irene-style flooding, but low lying roads could get covered by water in some spots, brooks and streams will come up fast, a few basements might flood, that sort of thing. Just don't drive over any flooded roads and most of us should be fine in that regard.

As we get into the afternoon, colder air will start bleeding in from the west and north. In areas of northern New York, which are still under a winter storm warning for six to 12 inches of wet snow, the precipitation in many areas has briefly changed to a cold rain or a mix, but the snow will return later this morning or this afternoon.

That snow or mix will also start to creep into the Champlain Valley of Vermont this afternoon, too. Careful driving along Interstate 89 and other nearby roads north of Burlington during the mid and later afternoon. Toward evening, the changeover to snow will start to move more quickly across Vermont.

It still looks like temperatures will fall quickly tonight, so water will freeze and the snow falling is definitely still expected to cause some rough travel.

Snow showers now look like they will continue into Thanksgiving morning across northern Vermont especially, so even if you delay your trip to Grandmother's house, you'll still have to be careful on the roads.

Snow accumulation tonight and early Thursday still looks like it will be in the two to five inch range across the northern half of Vermont, but maybe quite a bit more than that along the western slopes of the Green Mountains.

I'm still sticking to my forecast of up to a foot around Jay Peak, and maybe close to that at places like Smuggler's Notch and Mount Mansfield.

Bring your winter gear with you on Thanksgiving Day. It's going to be mighty cold and windy.

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