Vermont Can't Catch A Break; Probably Will Miss Out On Warm Burst

This forecast map shows a strong storm over the middle of
the country, strong, cold high pressure just south of Hudson
Bay and a stalling front over the Northeast. That stalled
front seems destined to prevent Vermont from getting
a warm spell, and will produce a cold rain here and possibly
mixed precipitation and snow. 

I'm beginning to despair as to whether spring will ever get here. Case in point: The end of this week and the weekend.

A strong storm is very likely to get going in the middle of the country and push a strong warm front northward along the East Coast. In an area the warm front passes by, temperatures will soar into the 70s.

Here's the catch: The warm front seems destined to stall somewhere in New England. It's still possible the front will make it briefly to the Canadian border before slowly sinking south, but do't count on it.

Southern Vermont in particular might get into the warm air for a bit, but that's likely to be it.

The forecast here in Vermont for Friday through Sunday is still highly uncertain, since not one meteorologist is sure where the front will settle.

We do know the storm will have a rich supply of moisture, which for one means the threat of a severe storm and possible tornado outbreak Friday and Saturday in the South.

With that front expected to hang around here this weekend, it looks like we'll get a fair amount of precipitation here in the North Country.  The question is how much cold air will feed into the system from a frigid high pressure system up in Canada.

The bad news is most of Vermont is likely to get periods of cold rain Friday through next Monday. That's what the National Weather Service in South Burlington is going with, at least for now.

The even worse news is its possible northern Vermont, New Hampshire, Maine, New York and southern Quebec could get a bunch of mixed precipitation or even a substantial snowstorm.

Unfortunately, that's true. It's not definite, but a decent snowstorm is at least a slight possibility. This all will happen while places like New York, Washington and Philadelphia bask in sunshine and temperatures in the 70s to around 80.

Sigh.

It's also possible the front will set up far enough south for a while at least that northern Vermont gets just chilly, raw weather, with not much precipitation.

As you can see, ,this forecast is still extremely complicated and uncertain, so expect a LOT of fine tuning before the weekend and the weather actually hits. Stay tuned.

By the way, this same storm also seems destined to cause another pretty big snowstorm over the Northern Plains. So other people might suffer from a lack of spring as well.