Matt's Weather Rapport is written by Vermont-based journalist and weather reporter Matt Sutkoski. This blog has a nationwide and worldwide focus, with particular interest in Vermont and the Northeast. Look to Matt's Weather Rapport for expert analysis of weather events, news, the latest on climate change science, fun stuff, and wild photos and videos of big weather events. Also check for my frequent quick weather updates on Twitter, @mattalltradesb
Monday, March 20, 2017
Spring Arrives In New England In Uncertain Fashion. Typical
The old adage is true: The first day of spring and the first spring day are usually not the same thing here in New England.
On the bright side, just like yesterday, temperatures are getting up to 40 degrees or so this afternoon here in northern Vermont.
The slow melting process will continue, and the maple sugarers will continue - -today and tomorrow at least - to enjoy a freeze/thaw cycle that they like to keep the sap running.
All this snow will be slowly disappearing over the next couple of weeks, in fits and starts, of course.
Spring is always tentative and uncertain in northern New England, and this year is no exception. The weather pattern that brought us some Arctic cold blasts and snow is changing again, which holds out the prospect that we will get a few spring like days in the coming couple of weeks.
But not always.
Before the weather pattern finishes its transition to a somewhat more spring-like one, another HUGE Arctic blast is heading toward the North Country.
A sharp Arctic front will come through Tuesday night, and the bottom will drop out of the temperatures.
Just as we have twice already this month, daytime highs Wednesday will be near record low levels. Highs just in the teens, when it should be at least in the low 40s this time of year. Record lows are possible Wednesday night as temperatures bottom out near or below zero.
Cold waves like this don't last long this time of year, and it'll start to warm up Thursday afternoon. It'll still be frigid for this time of year in Vermont, with highs in the 20s, but it will be better.
The warmup will continue so that near seasonable temperatures (low 40s-ish) come in Friday and Saturday.
Beyond that, the weather will see-saw, with colder weather possible around Sunday then maybe warmer weather again a couple days after that. (Long-range forecasts like this are always iffy, especially in the spring.)
The overall weather pattern change starting this week and continuing into April will mean a greater risk of occasional tornadoes and severe weather in the Plains, Midwest and South starting Thursday and Friday.
The pattern change would also seem to increase the chances of storminess at times in Vermont and the rest of the Northeast. As we're heading into April, the chances of the storms being rain and not snow are definitely increasing.
However, even in April, you never know. Stay tuned.
Spring is stuttering, but it's getting here!
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